Rupee will settle down: Chidambaram


New Delhi: With the rupee declining to a two-month low of 63 to a dollar, Finance Minister P Chidambaram Monday assured the domestic currency will stabilise.

"Rupee will settle down," he told reporters here.

In early trade today, the rupee fell to 63.33 to a dollar, its weakest since September 18.

The Indian currency started weakening since last week after the dollar purchase by oil companies was partly shifted to the market.

"Rupee weakness is due to OMC forex demand being moved to market. 30-40 percent of OMC demand has moved to market," Economic Affairs Secretary Arvind Mayaram had said last week.

The PSU oil companies are the biggest buyers of dollars, requiring USD 8-8.5 billion every month for the import of an average 7.5 million tonne of crude oil.

In August, the Reserve Bank had opened a special window to help the three state-owned oil marketing companies -- IOC, HPCL and BPCL -- to meet daily foreign exchange requirements and buy dollars directly from RBI.

The rupee has recovered over 8 percent since August 28, when it fell to a record low of 68.85 to the dollar. The gain in rupee had followed optimism that the US Federal Reserve would delay the tapering of its bond buying programme.

World Bank says expanded access to banking services comes with risks

World Bank President Jim Yong Kim
In Brazil, bank customers can access their accounts aboard a floating bank on the Amazon River. In Mexico, rural residents find banking services inside popular stores like Walmart or 7-Eleven, or at their local pharmacy.

Mobile technology and regulatory reforms have made it easier and cheaper for private and public companies around the world to offer banking services to the poor, youth, women and rural residents, and others who lacked access.

But in a new report released on Monday, the World Bank warns that while some services, like low-fee accounts, clearly benefit the poor and small firms, others - such as microcredit, microinsurance, and debt relief - can do more harm than good.

"We're very careful to make sure we're not saying that everyone should be borrowing," said Asli Demirguc-Kunt, the World Bank's director of research and co-author of the report.

Instead, the World Bank encourages governments to reduce regulatory barriers, legal hurdles or other factors that make financial services too expensive for some, such as boosting competition and protecting the rights of creditors.

Access to finance helps the world's poorest save so they can invest in education and improve standards of living, and enables small companies to borrow so they can grow. It also makes it easier for governments to target subsidies and financial assistance to the bank accounts of the neediest.

More than 50 governments have pledged to improve financial inclusion, or the number of people and companies that use financial services. World Bank President Jim Yong Kim last month also announced a target of universal financial access by 2020. Now, about 2.5 billion people, or half the world's adult population, lack access to financial services.

Microcredit, or tiny loans to the poor, came into vogue in the late 1990s as a way of providing banking services to the world's poorest in order to combat poverty and boost entrepreneurship.

But several studies in recent years have shown that microcredit, which often comes with very high interest rates, has little or no impact on the financial fates of people in nations such as Mexico, the Philippines, Morocco and India.

The World Bank said India in particular offers a cautionary tale about the overextension of credit, after reports of dozens of suicides by poor borrowers in 2010 in the southern state of Andhra Pradesh.

India lacked appropriate protection for consumers and legal provisions for personal bankruptcy, the bank said. In general, governments should avoid directed credit and lending through state-owned banks, as these interventions can become tied to politics, according to the World Bank.

Fingerprinting, Iris scans


But innovative financial instruments and new technology have made it easier to expand access, even in countries without strong institutions.

One experiment in rural Malawi collected the fingerprints of some farmers that wanted loans to grow paprika. The experiment showed that farmers who were at highest risk for default were more likely to pay back a loan if they were fingerprinted, since they worried they might not get another loan in the future.

The identification could also make lenders more likely to extend credit since they would have better information about borrowers.

"Recent research suggests that biometric identification (such as fingerprinting, iris scans, and so on) can substantially reduce information problems and moral hazard in credit markets," the World Bank said.

Other tools that can encourage people to save in formal bank accounts are commitment savings accounts, where people give up access to their money for a set period of time, or regular reminders of savings goals.

But the World Bank said it was important to have more educated consumers in addition to enabling government policies. For that, standard financial literacy classes generally fail at preparing people for major financial decisions.

"A person can learn the meaning of street signs, but this does not make him capable of driving in traffic," the bank said.

Instead, what seems to work better is providing information just as a person is starting a new job or purchasing a financial product.

"You need the right regulations in place, but also to educate consumers so that they watch out for themselves," Demirguc-Kunt said.

Gold prices fall below Rs 31,000 on selling, weak global cues

Gold prices fall below Rs 31,000 on weak global cues
Gold prices dipped below Rs 31,000-mark after nearly one month, falling by Rs 350 to Rs 30,900 per ten grams in New Delhi on Monday.

Traders said heavy selling by stockists on the back of sluggish demand amid a weak global trend mainly pulled down the yellow metal's prices.

However, silver found some buying support from industrial units and ended higher by Rs 110 to Rs 49,010 per kg.

Gold in Singapore, which normally sets price trend on the domestic front, dropped by 0.4 per cent to $1,283.28 an ounce after data showed that US employers added more jobs than expected which reduced demand for the metal as an alternate investment.

On the domestic front, gold of 99.9 and 99.5 per cent purity plunged by Rs 350 each to Rs 30,900 and Rs 30,700 per ten grams, respectively. It had lost Rs 150 in the previous session. Sovereign also shed Rs 100 to Rs 25,000 per piece of eight gram.

On the other hand, silver ready recovered by Rs 110 to Rs 49,010 per kg and weekly-based delivery by Rs 160 to Rs 48,310 per kg. The white metal had lost Rs 200 in last trade.

Silver coins also spurted by Rs 1,000 to Rs 87,000 for buying and Rs 88,000 for selling of 100 pieces.

Govt will get over negativity, says Chidambaram

 Govt will get over negativity, says Chidambaram
Finance Minister P Chidambaram has conceded that a potent mix of factors like slowdown of economic growth, dysfunction of the executive and corruption allegations has brought in a "high degree of negativity" but expressed confidence that the government would get over it.

"In the second five years of UPA, yes, there is, I can sense, I can see that the voter is at the moment negative. I can see that. I am blind if I don't see that. The reason is slowdown in economic growth , dysfunction of the executive, the cases of allegations of corruption, investigations that are going on, inflation and a slowdown in job creation. I think it is a potent and powerful mix, a potent mix of factors which has brought in a high degree of negativity. It is possible we may get over it."

"It is possible we don't get over it. It is a verdict we have to leave to the people. We have to accept whatever the verdict people will give," Chidambaram said at the "Thinkfest" event in Bambolim near Panaji.

Even in this slowdown in the last nine years, the country has clocked an average of 7.5 per cent growth.

"It is sad that at the end of the 10-year term, the growth has seen slowdown for a couple of years after having been high in the middle years and low in the last two years. I am doing my best. I will continue to do my best to see that there is an upturn before we go to polls," he said.

Chidambaram was replying to a question whether at the end of the second UPA term in the context of global pressures, CAG reports and high optimism in which the coalition was voted to power in 2009, there was today a lack of credibility for the government and that the prime minister was singularly lacking in leadership.

He shot back saying that he cannot remain in government and comment on the prime minister.

"That is not correct, that is not appropriate. I won't do it. He is the prime minister. I am a minister in his Cabinet. I have to accept his leadership and respect him. I am sorry, I cannot answer this question."

Indian rupee drops 83 paise against US dollar, breaches 63-mark

 Rupee breaches 63-mark in early trade
he Indian rupee dropped by 83 paise to 63.30 against the US dollar after a gap of nearly eight weeks on persistent dollar demand from importers and banks on the back of higher dollar overseas.

The domestic currency resumed lower at 63.00 per dollar as against the last weekend's level of of 62.47 per dollar at the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) Market and dropped further to 63.32 per dollar before quoting at 63.30 per dollar at 10.40 am. It moved in a range of 62.94 per dollar and 63.32 per dollar during the morning deals.

Sustained dollar demand from importers and banks in view of firm dollar overseas mainly affected the rupee value against the dollar, a forex dealer said.

In New York, the American currency jumped last Friday after the US created twice as many jobs in October as Wall Street had expected, sparking yet another round of discussion about when the Federal Reserve could slow its bond buys.

Meanwhile, the BSE Sensex dropped further by 129 points, or 0.62 per cent, to 20,537.37 at 10.50 am.